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[NL20-NL50] [FR] A3s nl20

    • franeczek
      franeczek
      Global
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 2,439
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.2 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)

      Known players:
      UTG1:
      $39.18
      UTG2:
      $19.70
      MP1:
      $19.40
      MP2:
      $15.88
      MP3:
      $8.33
      CO:
      $25.67
      BU (Hero):
      $43.30
      SB:
      $23.34
      BB:
      $12.38
      UTG:
      $38.70


      Preflop: Hero is BU with A, 3.
      3 folds, MP1 raises to $0.60, MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.60, CO calls $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, SB calls $0.50, BB folds.

      Flop: ($3.2) 6, K, T (5 players)
      SB checks, MP1 checks, MP3 bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, SB calls $0.40, MP1 raises to $3.50, MP3 raises to $7.73, CO folds, Hero raises to $42.70, SB folds, MP1 calls $15.30.

      Turn: ($73.23) 9 (3 players)


      River: ($73.23) 7 (3 players)


      Final Pot: $73.23.

      MP1 is 16/6/18 (VPIP/PFR/AFq) after 218 hands
      MP3 33/17/53 after 19 hands.

      I had position so I decided to call in multiway. MP1 checkraised the flop (as PFR ?( ) MP3 jam his remaining stack. I can't really call cause I don't now what MP1 will do so my relative position sucks. I think that I might only push or fold.
      Against set I have around 25% equity vs sets, vs wider range:


      Board: K:heart: 6:heart: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP1    50.74%  50.38%   0.36% { KK+, TT, 66, AKs, QJs, AKo }
      MP3    16.04%  15.87%   0.18% { K3s+, QTs, J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s+, 75s, 64s, ATo, K8o+ }
      BU     33.21%  32.99%   0.22% { Ah3h }


      So I have around 33% vs that range so it is close but probably -EV. Should I fold here???
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would raise MP3 lead and play for his stack with nut fd
      Aftrer MP1 c/r and MP3 shoves I think you have to shove, since if you boht give them sets or two pair, you´re equity is 30% which is enough to gamble in 3-way pot and sometimes you can make MP1 folding his aces or calling with QhJh, that you dominate

      board: 6hKhTs
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      KK, TT, KT 40.91% 26,172 20,808
      66, KT 28.17% 14,778 20,808
      Ah3h 30.92% 27,639 0