[NL2-NL10] AQ against a fish with high 3bet %

    • pokervin123
      Joined: 21.01.2010 Posts: 42
      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2 = ($24.00)
      MP3 = ($43.05)
      CO = ($24.35) 49/22 , 3bet % of 13% about 16 hands out of 47
      BU = ($18.25)
      SB = ($9.50)
      BB = ($11.25)
      UTG1 (Hero) = ($11.40)
      UTG2 = ($9.25)
      MP1 = ($9.75)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG1 with A, Q.
      Hero raises to $1.25, 4 folds, CO raises to $3.00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $11.40, CO calls $8.40.

      Flop: ($23.55) 4, 7, 9 (2 players)

      Turn: ($23.55) Q (2 players)

      River: ($23.55) 8 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $23.55.
      Results follow:

      Hero shows a pair of queens(A Q).
      CO shows a pair of kings(K K).

      CO wins with a pair of kings(K K).

      Could i have folded this hand against this fish?
  • 2 replies
    • thazar
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,560
      Did you mean that the sample of hands you have on 3bet is 16 and he 3 betted 13% of that because if it is the case that means he 3betted 2 out of 16 hands so not representative at all. He could still be 3 betting very tight. If you have only 47 hands against villain you don't really have a sample , so you have to be careful, he could have had a few good hands during those 47. PFR of 22 is only about 10 hands so as you can see it could just be a good run of card.

      Saying that, you can only base yourself on the stats and read that you have. SO Given that villain looks very aggro. I dont think either line is wrong pushing or folding.

      I think you could have bet a bit bigger on opening raise. pot size (3.5bb) to 4bb. So between $1.75 to $2. And then evaluate to his bet size.

      Also if you play him again make a note of his bet size. you can see that he 3bet you quite under pot size. even under 2.5x the size of your bet with a monster.

      If you can find the other hands where he 3betted and check the bet size and if you had a showdown and compare you might find a read there.

      One last thing , AQo or AQs are not in the starting hands on UTG, I am not saying it is wrong to play them but, unless you are a more advance player it avoid you been in some difficult spots.
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Because stats are almost irrelevant due sample size
      And because of your stacksize
      And because of your position
      And because you didnt display reads/tells he might have given

      I think AQs/AQo is a standard fold because you dont get the necessary equity to call over and over again