[NL2-NL10] Nl2 Aa

    • Royaltramp
      Joined: 28.11.2010 Posts: 215
      Known players:

      0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.90 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:heart: , A:spade:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, 2 folds, CO calls $0.08, 3 folds.

      Flop: ($0.19) Q:diamond: , 5:spade: , 4:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.13, CO calls $0.13.

      Turn: ($0.45) 7:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.3, CO raises to $0.86, Hero raises to $1.79 (All-In), CO raises to $1.64 (All-In).

      River: ($3.88) 3:spade: (2 players)

      Final Pot: $3.88

      --- Did I do anything wrong here?
  • 2 replies
    • DoigteurFou
      Joined: 16.08.2007 Posts: 1,529
      With a WTS of 20, and given the fact that if you call his reraise he is comitted to the pot (and therefore his reraise = AI = showdown), I'd be careful not to run into a set...
    • funktor
      Joined: 10.08.2008 Posts: 922
      Hi Royaltramp!

      On turn you have invested ~ $0.51 and with remaining $1.34 we need to with pot 34% or more to be profitable.

      At this point I expect CO play his draws rather passively and hand 76s would you just call you down, not semibluf raise you. As 7 hits on turn it CO cannot have 7:s6. Question is if he can have 86s chases his gutshot.

      So giving him range A:sQ (do not expect him raising other queens), QQ, 77, 55, 44, 86s, 54s your equity is 5% and you should fold. Even if you believe that he is bluffing, or semiblufing like 10% of the time, you still need to fold at this spot.

      Edit: If you believe that he is going broke with TP and have you seen him do that (especially weak TPs, etc) and we can extend range like QQ,77,55-44,AQs,KQs,86s,54s,AQo, you have 34% equity and you can go broke.

      If we expect him have QQ,77,55-44,AQs,KQo,86s,54s,AQo, QJs, QTs than you are 50%.

      But without specific reads your play shold be folding here (especially due to his
      TAGish stats)