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[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - JJ oop

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($56.55)
      BB ($19.55)
      Hero ($59.55)
      UTG+1 ($29)
      CO ($48.10)
      BTN ($29.80)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: J:diamond:

      Hero raises to $2, fold, CO calls $2, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($4.75) 8:spade: 4:club: 4:heart:

      Hero bets $4, CO calls $4

      TURN ($12.75) 8:spade: 4:club: 4:heart: 5:heart:

      Hero bets $9.50, CO calls $9.50

      RIVER ($31.75) 8:spade: 4:club: 4:heart: 5:heart: Q:club:

      Hero checks, CO bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50

      villain unk, 57/0/1 , 7hs only
      looks standard, though I am wondering if unknown is ever bluffing on the river...
      I guess we cant fold for 4:1?

      Any reason to think we cant vbet turn? I expect to get calls from 8x, 99/TT maybe 66/77 and random overs that picked up flushdraw too...
  • 8 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      turn barrel with overpair is really standard consider your hand strenght and since he possible calls flop with very wide range.
      I´d personally would bet river myself 22$, since I think he would call us down with worse pp-s and if you check then very often it goes c/c
      As played. you have to call his small bet. It can be everything starting with small bluff and ending thin valuebet smt like TT
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Thanks Kaitz,

      What hands would you hope to get called by on the river when betting $22?

      thanks
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      His range is as you said mostly {66-77 8x and 99-TT}

      From this on it depends on how fishy he is as he can call you with his whole range or just with smth like 99-TT

      Once you bet the turn I assume he is folding his floats as you don't have any history developed.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by Tim64
      Thanks Kaitz,

      What hands would you hope to get called by on the river when betting $22?

      thanks
      I think 57/0 would call you down 8x/99/TT, maybe also 5x, 66, 77 , since he doesn't really like to fold his pairs and Qx isn't the scariest rivers
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      I think 57/0 would call you down 8x/99/TT, maybe also 5x, 66, 77 , since he doesn't really like to fold his pairs and Qx isn't the scariest rivers


      I agree but we only have 7hands so unlikely these are realistic stats...
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by Tim64
      I think 57/0 would call you down 8x/99/TT, maybe also 5x, 66, 77 , since he doesn't really like to fold his pairs and Qx isn't the scariest rivers


      I agree but we only have 7hands so unlikely these are realistic stats...
      I think we can assume in 7 hands that he isn't really the best player, since both me or you are not playing 7 hands 57/0 stats. So I'd rather go assumption he is fish and valuebet accordingly
    • veeretas
      veeretas
      Gold
      Joined: 29.02.2008 Posts: 59
      i think that river bet is must, but i personally would bet something like 14. To get call from all of his above mentioned range. I think to this relatively big(22) bet he will fold 66,77 and some 8x, and calls 99, TT + better. What do you think kaitz about this sizing.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by VonKaups
      i think that river bet is must, but i personally would bet something like 14. To get call from all of his above mentioned range. I think to this relatively big(22) bet he will fold 66,77 and some 8x, and calls 99, TT + better. What do you think kaitz about this sizing.
      If he would call 14$, then I think he would also call 18$
      I would usually go to 22$, since I think he would very likely also call that amount if he calls 14$