[NL2-NL10] NL10 AA vs 2 opp

    • h0m1e
      Joined: 28.03.2010 Posts: 223
      Party Poker $10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1098051
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $10.00
      UTG: $33.37
      MP: $6.70
      CO: $10.00
      BTN: $11.13
      Hero (SB): $20.35

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A :club: A :diamond:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.20, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.20, Hero raises to $0.90, 1 fold, MP calls $0.70, BTN calls $0.70

      Flop: ($2.80) J :spade: 4 :club: 9 :club: (3 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, MP calls $1.50, BTN raises to $3.50, Hero raises to $19.45 all in, MP calls $4.30 all in, BTN calls $6.73 all in

      Turn: ($29.06) 8 :heart: (3 players - 3 are all in)

      River: ($29.06) K :heart: (3 players - 3 are all in)

      MP 74/0/2/45/54(vpip/pfr/af/wtsd/hands)
      Last hand he lost a full stack against me with 2 pair vs my set and I thought that he may have tilted
      BU 25/13/1/0/8 too small sample

      I actually wanted to fold to his small raise on flop,but couldn't fold because the fish was in the hand.
      Should I fold here??I mean am I often enough ahead on this flop to justify going all-in?
  • 2 replies
    • ragney
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417

      Really interesting situation. Quick stove:
      Board: Js 4c 9c

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 35.107% 35.11% 00.00% 502783 0.00 { AcAd }
      Hand 1: 30.632% 30.43% 00.20% 435848 2854.50 { KK-JJ, 99, 44, AJs, QTs, J9s, J4s, T8s, AJo, QTo, J9o, J4o, T8o }
      Hand 2: 34.261% 34.06% 00.20% 487818 2854.50 { KK-JJ, 99, 44, QcTc, JcTc, Tc8c }

      I think our equity is fine here, and with so much dead money I think shove is not a bad idea. BU most likely have some good draws or his set/two pair. Waiting for veriz as well, bookmarked!
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello h0m1e,

      Preflop: First of all, since we have such a big fishy in the pot and we will we OOP against him, I'd even raise it bigger here, ~$1,10, just not to get great odds for others, for example if the fish Calls then likely could BU think that he also has odds.

      As played
      Flop: Second thing is the bet sizing here, what I don't really like. Since the board is that draw-heavy, I'd just bet ~$2,40 then we had a lot easier decision. But as long we are against unknown and likely he have have there any kind of hand, even sometimes maybe AJ. :D I don't see any good reason how we can get away from this hand. Therefore I'd also Bet/Ship it.

      Best regards.