[NL20-NL50] 50NL rush JJ river spot

    • ArtisSkirpa
      Joined: 20.11.2009 Posts: 83
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J, J.
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($3) 2, 3, T (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.00, BB calls $2.00.

      Turn: ($7) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.00, BB calls $5.00.

      River: ($17) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $11.00(All-In), Hero ?

      The villain is 25/10, 0 3bet, 1.1 af, Agg % by street 24/14/44 over 106 hands.

      Preflop, flop and turn are all very standard IMO, you could make an argument for bigger bets, but we can get stacks in by the river anyway and by betting closer to pot we probably make him fold some weaker hands in his range which we don't want.

      Now on this river can we do anything but check/fold?
      I think value jamming is too thin, we basically should be hoping he calls with Tx and a lot of his Tx's will be AT.

      Can we ever consider check/calling with no specific history, given that the flush draw missed and fish usually can't vbet very thin on 4-straight boards and in general.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think he has there enough times missed draws or turning smt like 66 into bluff so that you can c/c river if you don´t put him all-in yourself
      You get good odds and if player had two pair+ on the turn he would generally shove, so basically you only loose some Ax hands, but his shoving range is definitely wider