[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH. 3 Bet pot, Top 2 and a monotone flop

    • parry
      parry
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.09.2008 Posts: 92
      PKR $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

      Hero (UTG): $12.05
      MP: $9.24 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 8.0, Hands: 41
      CO: $7.75 - VPIP: 68, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 3.8, Hands: 37
      BTN: $3.10 - VPIP: 41, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 37
      SB: $1.74 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 0, 3B: NaN, AF: 0.0, Hands: 3
      BB: $11.23 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 30, 3B: 14, AF: 2.5, Hands: 40

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with A:club: J:heart:
      Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BTN raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.45, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($1.60) 9:spade: J:spade: A:spade: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $2.60, SB folds, Hero ??


      Pre flop was giving the villain a range of JJ+,AKs,AKo as this was their first PFR never mind 3 bet.


      Flop equity against villains pre flop range (with card removal of non spade AK, KK, QQ)
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    47.99%  47.48%   0.51% { AcJh }
      BU     52.01%  51.51%   0.51% { AA, AdKs, AhKs, KdKs, KhKs, KsKc, QdQs, QhQs, QsQc, JdJc }


      Removal of pocket queens
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    43.32%  42.60%   0.72% { AcJh }
      BU     56.68%  55.96%   0.72% { AA, AdKs, AhKs, KdKs, KhKs, KsKc, JdJc }

      Against sets only
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2     6.72%   4.44%   2.27% { AcJh }
      BU     93.28%  91.01%   2.27% { AA, JJ }



      Thought at the time that their range was most likely { AA, AdKs, AhKs, KdKs, KhKs, KsKc, JdJc } giving me 43.32% equity with pot odds of 1.62:1 (38%). Didn't have these numbers during play though :f_frown:

      Call or fold in this spot?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello parry,

      Preflop: Actually against his stack, I don't really like the Call that much. I'd just give up my hand.

      As played
      Flop: Yeah, against his stack, I'd Call here, or even maybe Bet out myself it myself to protect from FD.

      Best regards.