[NL2-NL10] AKs NL FR - 3 bet pot and implied odds

    • muel294
      muel294
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,207
      Villain is 12/9/46 over 120 hands.?

      Pacific Poker - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      LP: $10.00
      CO: $10.89
      BTN: $13.05
      SB: $3.70
      Hero (BB): $10.93
      UTG: $10.15
      UTG+1: $13.47
      MP: $5.00
      MP+1: $10.23

      SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has K:club: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $0.50, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.00

      Flop: ($3.05, 2 players) 9:diamond: 7:diamond: 3:club:
      Hero bets $1.22, CO calls $1.22

      I am c-betting here because I put his range on 88+, AJ+ and I believe I can get him to fold AJ+ since I have the iniative.

      I intended to play the turn passively If I dont improve and think I am ahead.


      Turn: ($5.49, 2 players) 8:club:
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.74, Hero calls $2.74

      This is what happens and when he bets I am only getting expressed odds of 3:1 and need 4:1 for my flush.

      I thought since he is a particularly tight player he will stack with overpairs if the flush comes in which means I will get the correct implied odds right?

      current pot + opponents remaining stack = 8.23+5.43= 13.66 / 2.74 = 4.9:1.

      Am I correct in assuming that this type of player will stack most of the time given his range? Should I be folding if we think he has a set or do we still call and check/fold the turn if the board pairs? I find it hard to believe the villain doesnt raise sets on the flop since it was a 3bet pot


      River: ($10.97, 2 players) T:spade:
      Hero checks, CO checks

      Hero shows K:club: A:club: (High Card, Ace) (PreFlop 46%, Flop 28%, Turn 32%)
      CO shows J:heart: J:club: (Straight, Jack High) (PreFlop 54%, Flop 72%, Turn 68%)
      CO wins $10.43
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello muel294,

      Flop: Sometimes against some tighter opponents, you may even remove those AJ type of hands. Therefore against some nitty fold to 3bet opponents you might even skip here the CBet since they are often having an overpair here. But of course it's doable, against some wider 3bet callers.
      Turn: Yeah, we are getting the implied odds that doesn't mean that we always have to use them. But as he bets that smallish, then you can consider going for it if you think that he is capable of paying you off when we hit. For example take into consideration his WTS.

      Best regards.
    • muel294
      muel294
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,207
      ahhh

      Went to showdown? I assume that is an indicator of call stations or people who find it difficult to laydown on the river? I havent been able to read the article on interpreting stats. Only have a basic understanding at the moment.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by muel294
      ahhh

      Went to showdown? I assume that is an indicator of call stations or people who find it difficult to laydown on the river? I havent been able to read the article on interpreting stats. Only have a basic understanding at the moment.
      Yep, you getting the point. :)