This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [FR] AQs nl25

    • franeczek
      franeczek
      Global
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 2,439
      No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 1110039
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $25.41
      UTG: $9.47
      UTG+1: $25.37
      UTG+2: $12.06
      MP1: $27.34
      Hero (MP2): $27.32
      CO: $10.98
      BTN: $24.65
      SB: $14.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP2 with Q :club: A :club:
      1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, 2 folds, BB calls $0.25

      Flop: ($2.10) 7 :club: 8 :spade: J :club: (4 players)
      BB bets $0.25, UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, CO folds, BB raises to $6.60, Hero calls $5.10

      Turn: ($15.30) 5 :heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $18.31, Hero folds

      Villian is 10/3/12 after 512 hands. I check raise flop for value but with his stats when he re-raise it sucks. I thought that with the odds he gave me it is worth to try to hit my flush outs on turn. Should I jam flop even vs such a nit? /fold when he re-raise???
  • 2 replies
    • i5bet72o
      i5bet72o
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 1,615
      Well imo he almost always has a set here (occasionally a str8) so i dont think jamming the flop is really a option vs this player.
      Odds of hitting a flush on the turn: 18%
      Equity with a flush:84%
      Lets Assume he shoves every turn
      So u r risking $5.1 to win $28.76
      So u must hit the flush 5.1/((28.76+5.1)x0.84)=0.179
      therefore it is a very marginal b/c on the flop.
      btw I am not 100% if my math is correct.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      If you don´t think he is ever bet/3-betting flop with flushdraws then b/c is fine. You´re just getting all-in 32% equity. At the same times I won´t really fold to 3-bet, since you´re ip so you likely get paid if you hit your flush and also he can give you free turn cards with sets if turn is 9 or T