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[NL2-NL10] JJ overplay?

    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($12.42)
      BB ($10.79)
      UTG ($12.21)
      UTG+1 ($16.98)
      CO ($16.03)
      BTN ($8.09)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: J:club:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.35, fold, Hero raises to $1.15, fold, CO raises to $3, Hero raises to $9.10, CO raises to $16.03 (AI), Hero calls $3.32 (AI)


      25/12/3.6 210hands
      1.6 3bet% 11PRF on CO

      PRE: i thinks i overplay here i looks his 4bet 2,6% ranges

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 62.408% 60.55% 01.86% 180409176 5529954.00 { TT+, AKs }
      Hand 1: 37.592% 35.74% 01.86% 106471812 5529954.00 { JJ }

      and i says ok he has sometimes TT or AK so stakoff :) i thinks this is miss play beocuse

      1) i don't have many hands vs him so this stats is unreliable.
      2) We are deep who put 120BB with AK or TT no history on nl10????
      3) he is very weak/thigh opponents

      i thinks this is callcold or 3bet./easyfold.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think he would mostly not 4-bet there with TT, but rather call.
      AK he can 4-bet/call, since he is oop and if you had 3-bet him before he can also 4-bet bluff there. So i think in generally 3-betting for value an then shoving over his 4-bet should be fine. If you don´t see getting all-in there light then fold is likely better. Against QQ+, Ak, you have 36% equity, so you don´t really have to risk your stack to find yourself flipping or being 80-20 underdog. If you think he might be 4-bet bluff then shove is better option.