[NL2-NL10] NL10 monster draw against 3-bet?

    • awesomeo
      awesomeo
      Silver
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 303
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $10,05
      Hero:
      $11,13
      MP1:
      $10,15
      MP2:
      $14,31

      0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.96 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J:diamond: , 9:diamond:
      UTG2 folds, MP1 calls $0,10, MP2 calls $0,10, 3 folds, SB calls $0,05, Hero checks.

      Flop: ($0,40) 8:diamond: , 7:spade: , 3:diamond: (4 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0,3, MP1 folds, MP2 raises to $0,98, SB folds, Hero raises to $1,90, MP2 raises to $14,21 (All-In), Hero calls $9,13 (All-In), MP2 gets uncalled bet back (All-In).

      Turn: ($22,46) K:spade:
      River: ($22,46) 2:spade: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $22,46

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      MP2 shows three-of-a-kind, sevens (7d 7c)
      Hero shows (Jd 9d)

      MP2 wins with three-of-a-kind, sevens (7d 7c)


      I wonder if my calculations are correct here: I made incorrect call to his shove sinse I need 40% equity and against a range of 88,77,33 and 78 I have only 35%. Therefore I should have folded to his 3-bet. On the other hand if I have raised his bet more than 19 bb (to 2.5-3$) I would have the needed quity to call the shove.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello awesomeo,

      Just Call his raise on flop, doesn't make sense to go broke on such flop, we often face sets here. As played, I'd rather fold it there. And yes, likely we need like 44-45% equity and against sets we ain't getting it.

      Best regards.