[NL2-NL10] NL 10 overpair vs overbet

    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)        
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $10.13
      BB:
      $8.86

      0.05/0.10 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.8 by www.pokerstrategy.cc.

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 9:heart: , 9:spade:
      2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 3 folds, BB calls $0.40, UTG+2 folds.

      Flop: ($1.15) 2:club: , 3:diamond: , 2:diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.50, Hero folds.

      Final Pot:
  • 7 replies
    • helemaalnicks
      helemaalnicks
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.09.2007 Posts: 7,195
      call, and see what he does on the turn. check, then steal the pot, 2/3 bet again, then fold.
    • SonicXT
      SonicXT
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2007 Posts: 4,736
      Raise it to see where you stand. A raise to 4 $ should suffice.
      If he moves all-in, you're probably beat and you fold.
      If he calls, you have 3 options in my book :
      - Turn is 9 : all-in
      - Turn is :diamond: : all-in if he checks (flush scare card)
      - Turn is anything else : check/fold
      If he folds, woohoo.

      Usually, he folds. I suggest the raise to get information.
      He could easily bet out any pocket pair in his range, 2 through 10's. Only 3 of them have you beat (22, 33, TT)
    • kexix
      kexix
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.12.2006 Posts: 83
      Raise it to see where you stand. A raise to 4 $ should suffice.
      If he moves all-in, you're probably beat and you fold.
      don't think you can fold after you reraise here; getting more than 3:1
    • SonicXT
      SonicXT
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2007 Posts: 4,736
      I think your odds are less than that at that point.
    • curnow
      curnow
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2007 Posts: 1,039
      Think he would be putting you on Ax so I would reraise , pot size is $2.55 so reraise about $4 seem right ,

      but if he pushes the pot would be $13.31 with $4.36 to call so if you dont want him to call/reraise may be better pushing on flop
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
    • Thorsten77
      Thorsten77
      Black
      Joined: 28.05.2006 Posts: 12,896
      30 Hands is nothing, so I wouln't rely on these stats.

      I can't see him having a 2. The most likely hands are FDs or a pocket pair. And that's why a reraise doesn't make sense to me: By reraising we kick out 44-88 which do not have a good equity, but I don't think we will get higher pockets to fold. Further, even if he has a FD, he will often have one or two overcards and thus has enough equity to shove. I'd suggest either to fold (low variance way) or call and raise the turn if it's a blank.