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[NL20-NL50] nl50 SH Rush - KK mwp 3b pot

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($58.85)
      BB ($50)
      UTG ($16.60)
      UTG+1 ($40.70)
      CO ($61.45)
      BTN ($58.75)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: K:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, CO raises to $2.25, fold, Hero raises to $7.75, fold, fold, CO calls $5.50

      FLOP ($16.50) Q:diamond: 6:heart: T:heart:

      Hero bets $8, CO raises to $23, Hero folds

      CO wins $30.90

      villain reg 19/16/2, 3b 5%, fv 3b 73%, 4b range 1.2%, 750hs
      I put villains range for calling my 3b at something like TT-QQ, maybe AKo since we are a little deeper and my 3b looks stronger (given he iso from CO vs MP). Im not sure if ever traps AA, but assume not. He may have AQs ocasionally but not v often given stats

      I would say his flop raise looks committing and I dont think he does this with JJ, so I can only beat AQ which I assume he has rarely and also probably just calls with. So theres not much i beat other than a bluff.

      Ok to fold, or too nitty?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      what are your stats. Imo villain make rush too many moves that I´d consider b/f that spot KK, so although not happy I´d shove for value
      You should also see smt like 78s and Ax flushdraws that can easily play the same way