[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - A7s mwp - 2pair on mono bdand ch/R

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,007
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($51.65)
      BB ($53.80)
      UTG ($54.50)
      UTG+1 ($88.10)
      CO ($17.45)
      BTN ($58.20)

      Dealt to Hero 7:spade: A:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.50, fold, BTN calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.25, fold

      FLOP ($5) 8:diamond: 7:diamond: A:diamond:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $3, BTN folds, Hero raises to $10, UTG+1 raises to $86.60 (AI), Hero calls $40.15 (AI)

      TURN ($105) 8:diamond: 7:diamond: A:diamond: 2:diamond:

      RIVER ($105) 8:diamond: 7:diamond: A:diamond: 2:diamond: 5:club:

      villain 20/16/2, wts 38, 405 hands.

      Whats our best line?

      ch/c and raise on safe turn or get the money in on the flop. Since the A :diamond: is out there, I reasoned the number of flush combos was smaller...
  • 4 replies
    • kevvu
      Joined: 11.05.2008 Posts: 1,527
      It looks like tricky spot. I would just fold or raise pre-flop. Don´t like your call. (especially cause u are OOP). If he has this kind range then we are in bad shape. So ch/f or ch/r/fold. Looks weird...

      Board: Ad 7d 8d

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 71.602% 70.34% 01.26% 7660 137.50 { AA, KdKs, 88-77, Td9d, AcKd, AhKd, AsKd, AcQd, AhQd, AsQd, AsQh }
      Hand 1: 28.398% 27.13% 01.26% 2955 137.50 { As7s }
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think pf call is fine, if you´re willing to take initiative a lot of pots
      I would also prefer leading that board, since some players would raise there any AK/AQ thinking I have draw and would also stack off if I shove
      c/r usually looks stronger and he may fold weaker Ax hands if he doesn´t have there diamond, but with AJ he would likely call me down 3 streets if turn and river are blanks
    • kevvu
      Joined: 11.05.2008 Posts: 1,527
      BUt why we still call him pre-flop. Do we want to play that hand OOP vs decent range, against what we are not doing good?
    • Bierbaer
      Joined: 27.05.2005 Posts: 7,989
      Pre is ok imo although we could squeeze.

      As played I like the c/r on the flop because UTG+1 will cbet a lot with his Ax in which case we can c/r and get way more money into the pot against a range willing to call.
      Also he can easily bluffcbet so we collect more dead money.

      Once he shoves I agree with kevvu that his range most likely crushes us, so I'd also fold.