[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 Rush - Bet sizing tells

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($59.25)
      BB ($66.15)
      UTG ($30.25)
      UTG+1 ($39.75)
      Hero ($62.85)
      BTN ($22.50)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: Q:club:

      UTG calls $0.50, fold, Hero raises to $2.10, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.60

      FLOP ($4.95) 2:spade: J:club: T:club:

      UTG bets $4.95, Hero calls $4.95

      TURN ($14.85) 2:spade: J:club: T:club: 2:club:

      UTG bets $0.50, Hero raises to $12.80, UTG raises to $23.20 (AI), Hero calls $10.40

      RIVER ($61.25) 2:spade: J:club: T:club: 2:club: 4:diamond:

      Hero shows K:heart: Q:club:
      (Pre 71%, Flop 43.7%, Turn 38.6%)

      UTG shows Q:heart: J:heart:
      (Pre 29%, Flop 56.3%, Turn 61.4%)

      UTG wins $58.25

      He tanked for a long time on the turn and then shoved, obv I have to call it off ...

      My mistake was sizing ... I made it big to create maximum FE and to get the correct odds of calling if he does shove ...

      But exactly after raising realised that I wouldn't raise it up so big if I had what I was repping ... and I would still get the odds vs his remaining stack if I made it smaller.

      How big would you make it? about $9,80 or smth?
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      you´re either way b/c turn with overcards+fd, so that doesn´t really change that much. if you want you can also shove giving him no option to c/rai and he may fold to shove smt like QJ
      And another problem raising to 9-12$. What would you don on the river if you miss. you can´t be sure about your fold equity and K high doesn´t win that often at showdowns so likely I´d just shove turn with my equity
    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Gotcha, thanks :]