[NL2-NL10] NL10 Cap Pair vs Donk Shove

    • AlCaTrAzzALZ
      AlCaTrAzzALZ
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.05.2008 Posts: 726
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      PokerStars
      8 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($3.65)
      UTG+1 ($6)
      MP1 ($2.48)
      MP2 ($2.73)
      CO ($16.67)
      Hero ($6.08)
      SB ($7.54)
      BB ($6.64)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 8 players) Hero is BTN 6:spade: 6:diamond:
      3 folds, MP2 calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.35, 1 fold, MP2 calls $0.30

      Flop: 5:heart: 2:spade: 10:heart: ($1.30, 3 players)
      SB bets $1.60, MP2 folds, Hero calls $1.60

      Turn: 2:heart: ($4.50, 2 players)

      River: 8:heart: ($4.50, 2 players)


      is this board dry enough that we can call this weird shove? villain is unknown
  • 3 replies
    • thazar
      thazar
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,560
      I would fold for 2 reasons:

      1) the board is drawy so if villain has a hand he does not want let you see a free card, so I normally respect more a donk on a 2 coloured board than a dry board for example.


      2) there are 3 of you in the pot so it is more likely than one has an over pair, AT or even sets like 22 or 55 for example. (TT would more than likely try to check raise but even who knows)

      So in this case I would fold, but heads up, on a dry board and with no reads I'd probably would jam there.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      What do you think his range for betting is?

      What is your equity?

      What are your pot odds?

      - Gerv
    • thazar
      thazar
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,560
      don't know if questions are for OP or for me :) so I will attempt an answer:

      that is the range I would put him on and pot odds are 1.81:1 so you need 35% equity.


      http://www.PokerStrategy.com
      Operation canceled... 57,412,326 games processed in 23 seconds.

      Board: Th 5h 2s
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 28.551 % 27.941 % 1.220 % 70.839 % 6s6d
      Player 2: 71.449 % 70.839 % 1.220 % 27.941 % 22+, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, KhQh, KhJh, KhTh, QhJh, QhTh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h, 8h7h


      ----------------------------------------


      So it is again a clear fold IMO