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[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - 88 ip - River value bet?

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($39.70)
      BB ($62)
      Hero ($56.80)
      UTG+1 ($18.50)
      CO ($55.70)
      BTN ($57.80)

      Dealt to Hero 8:club: 8:spade:

      Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, BTN calls $1.50, fold, BB calls $1

      FLOP ($4.75) T:diamond: 3:heart: 2:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $3.25, BTN folds, BB calls $3.25

      TURN ($11.25) T:diamond: 3:heart: 2:club: 3:club:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($11.25) T:diamond: 3:heart: 2:club: 3:club: 6:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3

      villain is unknown: 27/12, 35hands
      1. Should we bet the River?
      2. If so, how much?

      the line I took, betting one quarter pot on the River was intended to get called by pocket pairs 4 4, 5 5, 7 7 and random ace high hands.

      if we bet, say, $7.5 we most likely only get called by Tx hands.

      More generally, how should we be going about working out whether we have a value bet in this spot?

      Thanks
  • 2 replies
    • kevvu
      kevvu
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.05.2008 Posts: 1,527
      hey,
      I think that valuebet on the river is too thin :D . Like u said u are not betting against wide range and flop was pretty dry so he wont even raise Tx, overpairs, 99 and ofc worser hands.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      If he doesn´t bet himself on the river then likely he doesn´t have Tx. I´d also bet river, but make it 5$. Sometimes I´m valuedowning myself Tx/99, but he can call me down with worse hands, mostly smaller pp-s and it is sometimes have valuebets in my range when players would mostly see that as bluffs