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[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - A2s fd on turn

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($81.55)
      BB ($53.05)
      UTG ($55.25)
      UTG+1 ($73)
      CO ($55.50)
      Hero ($85.55)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: 2:heart:

      UTG calls $0.50, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, SB calls $1.75, fold, UTG calls $1.50

      FLOP ($6.50) 9:club: 3:heart: 9:heart:

      SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5, UTG folds

      TURN ($16.50) 9:club: 3:heart: 9:heart: 6:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $13, SB raises to $26, Hero calls $13

      RIVER ($68.50) 9:club: 3:heart: 9:heart: 6:diamond: 2:diamond:

      SB bets $15, Hero folds

      SB wins $65.50

      villain 22/12/2 wts 24, 350hs. Some kind of semi-reg...
      Turn really sucks since I wanted to barrel assuming villain has to fold alot and build the pot but when he raises not sure whats best.

      I wish I had just checked behind...

      Any benefit in shoving turn? For villain to raise, looks like 33 or 9x and he never folds either. He could have fd himself but I guess less likely he would play like this. (or rather, he would be more likely to ch/R the flop as its cheaper?)
  • 3 replies
    • StaticMoth
      StaticMoth
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      22/12 is a biiig gap between VP and PFR ... so he's a fish

      In theory I would fold @turn already, coz even though
      you get a super great price, you are very likely drawing dead already ...

      (Unless we have reads) I'd have to assume that 9x would c/r bigger since it's vulnerable.

      But c/c + c/minr looks soooo strong and sooo comfortable that is
      has to be a boat more often than not imo.
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Prolly right. Glad the :heart: didnt come...
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Since turn is blank you basically have to barrel river if you bet turn and you can´t be sure he is folding, so I think I´d also prefer free card, because we´re not often ahead and can´t be sure about our fold equity. I´d b/c turn, since we get great odds and sometimes our Ax is also good. If he can do that with worse hands than 9x then shoving turn seems also fine