[NL2-NL10] NL2 - Overpair vs ???

    • Philfox1985
      Philfox1985
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 934
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $2.61
      CO:
      $2.32

      0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.90 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T:diamond: , T:club:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, CO raises to $0.20, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.14.

      Flop: ($0.42) 8:spade: , 8:club: , 6:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.3, CO raises to $2.12 (All-In), Hero folds, CO gets uncalled bet back (All-In).

      Final Pot: $1.02
  • 2 replies
    • valancius
      valancius
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.03.2009 Posts: 65
      I would fold this hand pre flop against unknown opponent's 3bet because this hand is hard to play post flop without initiative: flops with face cards (will be most of the time) leaves you in hard spots and flops with low cards (tough flops in 3bet pots) also isn't very good, so you are looking just to hit your set, this will happen to rarely to make this call profitable. Although after calling 3bet you made donk bet and got reraised if you give your opponent strong range like JJ+AQ+ then you need ~42%equity (my calculations, can be wrong:) )to call and using pokerstove i calculated that you have:
      Board: 8s 6s 8c
      Dead:
      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 46.053% 46.05% 00.00% 25532 0.00 { TcTd }
      Hand 1: 53.947% 53.95% 00.00% 29908 0.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }

      I prefer to fold in this spot and look for better one to put your money in.

      Interesting thing that if you take off AQo (bluff hand) then you must have equity which gives us clear fold:
      Board: 8s 6s 8c
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 38.283% 38.28% 00.00% 16676 0.00 { TcTd }
      Hand 1: 61.717% 61.72% 00.00% 26884 0.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AKo }
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Philfox1985,

      Preflop: I'd rather just fold it here without good reason, often times such moves on such limits are very strong and they tend to have a strong hand, rather than weaker than ours.

      As played
      Postflop: Yes, donking is an option to find out where we stand and likely fold to the raise as played.

      Best regards.