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[NL2-NL10] NL25 Rush MSS SB ATo resteal

    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($9.74)
      BB ($19.97)
      UTG ($25.35)
      UTG+1 ($30.33)
      UTG+2 ($42.13)
      MP1 ($30.88)
      MP2 ($27.59)
      CO ($33.98)
      BTN ($10.75)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: T:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, fold, BTN calls $1.75

      FLOP ($5.25) Q:spade: T:diamond: 6:diamond:

      Hero bets $3, BTN raises to $8.25 (AI),

      Villain seems aggro fish 41/24 but only 50 hands

      What is the best flop line here?
      - cbet/c
      - c/r

      I see Qx, PP, KJ, and FD's in his range, so it would be something like
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 63,919 % 63,875 % 0,088 % 36,037 % JJ-99, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, KJs+, QTs+, KJo+, QTo+
      Player 2: 36,081 % 36,037 % 0,088 % 63,875 % ATo

      Or tighter:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 78,960 % 78,910 % 0,101 % 20,989 % JJ-TT, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, KQs, KQo
      Player 2: 21,040 % 20,989 % 0,101 % 78,910 % ATo


      Once I cbet I only need 20,5% EQ so I cant bet/fold.
      The bigger Q is how much is he gonna fold on this flop.
      If we bet, can we better shove?

      Thanks,

      T.
  • 4 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Board: Qs Td 6d
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 80.456 % 80.414 % 0.085 % 19.502 % JJ-TT, AdQd, AdJd, KQs, KdJd, QJs, KQo
      Player 2: 19.544 % 19.502 % 0.085 % 80.414 % AhTc


      One cant have AdTd and methinks AKs is going to 4bet.


      Well anyways you have to bet/fold here due pot odds & rake

      I think in general QTx boards are kinda mediocre for cBets as you cant profitably b/c

      Mvg,
      Gerv
    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Originally posted by Gerv

      One cant have AdTd
      I LOL'ed :f_mad:

      Yeah AK will 3bet pre, I forgot to take that out.

      So best line is to check/fold or check/raise?
      Check/fold seems weak against this aggro fish

      Thx.

      T.
    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Advise the judge of taking another look at this thread
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      an aggro fish is quite a broad term so it depends if he bets ATC if you check to him in a 3bet pot or not

      - Gerv