[NL2-NL10] NL10 - 99 (overpair) on monotone board

    • Donkey111
      Donkey111
      Bronze
      Joined: 20.02.2010 Posts: 36
      Very little info on villain who is 18/12 over 17 hands only..

      Being UTG, his range is quite small at the time of the 3rd barrel: a flush, a full house or some sort of other hands very aggressively played (fd with overcards)

      I decided to bluff catch with my small overpair. In retrospect, I think I should use hands with a blocker (9 :spade: here) as bluff catcher and fold the rest. Or maybe just fold all pairs of 9.

      What do you think?

      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $10.00
      UTG: $20.99
      MP: $10.00
      CO: $10.76
      BTN: $29.52
      Hero (SB): $10.05

      Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has 9:diamond: 9:club:

      UTG raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.25, fold

      Flop: ($0.70, 2 players) 3:spade: 2:spade: 7:spade:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.70, 2 players) 2:heart:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40

      River: ($4.50, 2 players) 8:club:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $3.21, Hero calls $3.21
  • 2 replies
    • Duudalinja
      Duudalinja
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030
      Howdy,

      Board: 3s 2s 7s
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 12.741% 11.89% 00.85% 4708 337.50 { 9c9d }
      Hand 1: 87.259% 86.41% 00.85% 34217 337.50 { TT+, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, AsKc, AsKd, AsKh, AsQc, AsQd, AsQh }

      That's just a pretty quick equity calculation against hands like TT+/flushes/some AsX (no sets included altho he may have them aswell, but that doesn't chance equity much), so we're in pretty bad shape and for that reason I'd just fold it on flop - I doubt we will be able to call three streets because there are so many bad cards for us and we may already be pretty dead here.

      Good luck!
    • Donkey111
      Donkey111
      Bronze
      Joined: 20.02.2010 Posts: 36
      Good idea to calculate the equity. I tried with an even larger range and I am still a big underdog. Thanks for the help.