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[NL2-NL10] NL10FR - AK vs. UTG raise

    • SilverSag
      Joined: 11.07.2010 Posts: 512
      This is the same regular villain ( 18/13/1.7 WTS 20 over 2000 hands) as in my AK hand with the long discussion. I try to avoid him if I can, since he is the one I have lost most money to, but can't run all the time, can I? The situation starts the same way as in that hand (his PFR from EP is 11%) but now I decided to call.

      My line of thought was:
      flop - he has not hit, with A on board he would at least be cbetting
      turn - he called, so he has decided to play way ahead/way behind and I am clearly ahead here (unless he is doing a fancy play, which is unlikely), so I bet a bit lower for value
      river - damn! three clubs... now, when I think about it, he could not have flush (suited connectors are hardly in the range and there would been more aggression with any Ax suited) and I should have played bet/fold on river

      please evaluate:

      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      10 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($14.92)
      UTG+1 ($3.70)
      UTG+2 ($9.99)
      MP1 ($3)
      MP2 ($10.46)
      Hero ($11.32)
      CO ($1.02)
      BTN ($10.64)
      SB ($10.07)
      BB ($3)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 10 players) Hero is MP3 A:club: K:spade:
      UTG raises to $0.40, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.40, 4 folds

      Flop: 8:club: Q:heart: A:diamond: ($0.95, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.60, UTG calls $0.60

      Turn: 4:club: ($2.15, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.60, UTG calls $1.60

      River: 5:club: ($5.35, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      Final Pot: $5
      UTG shows
      J:spade: J:club:
      Hero shows
      A:club: K:spade:

      Hero wins $5 (net +$2.40)

      UTG lost $2.60
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SilverSag,

      He may sometimes as well play this way his weaker Aces, so I guess you can easily Bet/Fold on river as well for ~$2. Flush is anyway more unlikely and with 2pairs he could have played much differently than this passive play.

      Best regards.