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[NL2-NL10] NL2 88 overpair A on river

    • RasTweet
      Joined: 26.12.2009 Posts: 4,553
      At the start of my session this evening. I was dealt 88. I had stats for 10 hands of the guy who called me. He was playing a 22/0.
      And I noticed when there was a checkround on the flop he would bet the turn about 5x potsize. So I decided to keep betting into him.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.08)
      BB ($3.20)
      Hero ($1.86)
      UTG+1 ($2.03)
      UTG+2 ($0.59)
      MP1 ($0.90)
      MP2 ($3.41)
      CO ($2.24)
      BTN ($2.03)

      Dealt to Hero 8:diamond: 8:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.08, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO calls $0.08, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.19) 6:club: 3:spade: 2:spade:

      Hero bets $0.10, CO calls $0.10

      TURN ($0.39) 6:club: 3:spade: 2:spade: 7:club:

      Hero bets $0.18, CO calls $0.18

      RIVER ($0.75) 6:club: 3:spade: 2:spade: 7:club: A:club:

      Hero bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40

      CO shows A:diamond: J:heart:
      (Pre 45%, Flop 23.0%, Turn 13.6%)

      Hero shows 8:diamond: 8:spade:
      (Pre 55%, Flop 77.0%, Turn 86.4%)

      CO wins $1.45

      Now I always have the overpair, untill the river shows an A should I bet the river like I did or not?

      And I have a huge betsize leak so how are my betsizes here?

      Thanks guys!
  • 2 replies
    • Meemawuk
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 758
      My sizing is pretty awful but these look small to me. Particularly on turn with double FD board.

      I'd bet ~0.15 on the flop. As played I'd bet ~0.30 on the turn. I don't mind the river bet if you think he's calling you down with some sort of 6. I think him having some sort of flush draw or nut flush draw that paired the river is equally as likely though. I prefer a check/call on the river because it means he can sometimes show up with a bluff. But like you said, he's likely to Bomb the river big, even with a missed spade draw, and you're in a tough spot if he does. Block bet around half pot might actually be the best option.

      I always look forward to what Veriz says :-)
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello RasTweet,

      First of all I'd like to give you a good advice. Post more hands, it seems that you are having a lot of leaks in your play which need to be fixed. One of the very important leaks what you have to fix is bet sizing.

      About the game, I'd CBet on flop bigger, ~$0,14 or something similar. The same goes for turn, bet it bigger ~$0,25-$0,30. And river is rather just Check, he wont bet there anyways worse hands and if he does bet then we can likely fold.

      Best regards.