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[NL2-NL10] nl2 go broke with flusdraw+OESD?

    • koosMaras
      Joined: 21.08.2010 Posts: 440
      Hand #1

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2.16)
      Hero ($2)
      UTG ($2.02)
      UTG+1 ($0.73)
      UTG+2 ($2.14)
      MP1 ($2.57)
      MP2 ($1.80)
      CO ($0.96)
      BTN ($4.18)

      Dealt to Hero T:spade: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.01, Hero raises to $0.10, SB calls $0.08

      FLOP ($0.20) J:spade: Q:spade: 9:club:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.16, SB raises to $2.06 (AI), Hero calls $1.74 (AI)

      TURN ($4) J:spade: Q:spade: 9:club: 4:club:

      RIVER ($4) J:spade: Q:spade: 9:club: 4:club: 2:spade:

      Don't know is there any point to post his stats. For me it's hit an out and win. I'm sure that it's easy call here since there are still two cards to come.

      Hand #2

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($0.62)
      BB ($2.19)
      UTG ($3.96)
      UTG+1 ($0.45)
      UTG+2 ($0.22)
      MP1 ($1.87)
      Hero ($2)
      CO ($2.29)
      BTN ($1.02)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: Q:club:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.02, UTG+2 calls $0.02, MP1 calls $0.02, Hero calls $0.02, CO raises to $0.06, fold, SB calls $0.05, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.04, fold, MP1 calls $0.04, Hero calls $0.04

      FLOP ($0.34) 9:club: T:club: 4:diamond:

      SB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.18, CO raises to $0.36, SB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, Hero calls $0.18

      TURN ($1.06) 9:club: T:club: 4:diamond: A:spade:

      Hero checks, CO bets $1, Hero raises to $1.58 (AI), CO calls $0.58

      RIVER ($4.22) 9:club: T:club: 4:diamond: A:spade: 6:spade:

      I'm not quite sure about this case. Looks pretty similiar though there's only one more card to come... Thanks.
  • 1 reply
    • Duudalinja
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030


      Seems fine to me. Against many hands you have more than 50% equity, he may have a worse draws, worst case for you is set - but you still have like 40% equity against it, so not so bad.


      Get it in on flop with your monster draw. With such a hand you can't wish anything better and you have ton of outs there. Don't wait for additional cards as blank turn with burn your equity.

      As played on the turn in fact you may not have enough equity to get it in - that's why getting it in on flop is much better when your equity is much higher.

      Just play with some kind of equity calculator and see it yourself. :)

      Good luck!