[NL2-NL10] AQs NL10 SH

    • winnergr
      Joined: 24.05.2010 Posts: 118
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10)
      BB ($10.89)
      UTG ($13.86)
      UTG+1 ($10.15)
      CO ($8.84)
      BTN ($10.65)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, CO calls $0.10, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, CO calls $0.30

      FLOP ($0.90) 6:diamond: Q:spade: J:heart:

      Hero bets $0.67, CO calls $0.67

      TURN ($2.24) 6:diamond: Q:spade: J:heart: T:heart:

      Hero bets $1.68, CO raises to $7.77 (AI), Hero folds

      CO wins $5.23

      No stats for villain, probably I am behind here, but do I have the odds to make a call? My simple calculations say no but is it simple?
  • 2 replies
    • arisko
      Joined: 23.09.2009 Posts: 392
      I guess I would call it since top pair with a gutshot straight flush draw is too good to pass up, and could have a pretty nice shot against his range, which probably would be something like 66,JJ,TT,QT+,K9+,JT+
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello winnergr,

      Preflop: I'd even raise bigger for the reason that we also are OOP, ~$0,50 or something similar.
      Postflop: I'd actually also Bet/Fold the turn for the reason that we need like 35% equity to make it profitable.

      But for example against this range we ain't getting it:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 28,838% 28,259% 1,158% 70,583% AhQh
      Player 2: 71,162% 70,583% 1,158% 28,259% QQ-TT, 66, AKs, QJs, JTs, 98s, AKo, QJo, JTo, 98o

      I guess not even if we remove few sets and also AK. Therefore rather just Bet/Fold, as you played.

      Best regards.