[NL2-NL10] 53s nl10 draw flop

    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9.95)
      BB ($22.52)
      CO ($12.34)
      Hero ($9.95)

      Dealt to Hero 5:club: 3:club:

      CO raises to $0.35, Hero calls $0.35, SB calls $0.30, BB calls $0.25

      FLOP ($1.40) J:club: 4:club: 6:spade:

      SB checks, BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB raises to $5.15, BB folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $9.60 (AI), SB calls $4.45 (AI)


      PRE: call this becouse BB is big target and SB don't 3bet light so good hand perspective mwp ip.

      F: ok when i get three checks i try steal pots i bet big becouse i want bet/shove this flop i consider bet even more 2$ becouse i don't want get calls, but if i get i want bulit big pot turn and shove . I get c/r on SB i put him TPGK+, sets so i have 51% equity i don't like stackoff with draw but what can i do? chb flop is sucks, bet/f is sucks, bet/c is sucks
  • 6 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello deivid2,

      Nah, he is not taking such a line with just TP. He will rather donk it and try to protect, and those opponents just don't check/raise with just TP unless you have read for that. Therefore I wouldn't put him on TP here. Also over-betting doesn't make sense. We will make just fold a lot worse hands and get shoved by better ones.

      Against sets what often times I'd put him on, and even not include TP without any good reason or reads or stats. Against unknown I'd just put sets mostly here:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 60,348% 60,348% 0,000% 39,652% JJ, 66, 44
      Player 2: 39,652% 39,652% 0,000% 60,348% 5c3c

      So it's a Bet/Fold for me. And of course, why do you even think that he is going to raise there this way just TP? What were your reads, stats?

      Best regards.
    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      11% c/r flop
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by deivid2
      11% c/r flop
      Take into account that it's a multiway pot. And 11% is pretty standard, and of course it depends on the hand sample size. For example we have only 100 hands then he most of time has there a very strong hand like sets.
    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      i agree you
    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      i have qestion for you when he has AJ here so next this sitution you play bet/shove of course yes???
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by deivid2
      i have qestion for you when he has AJ here so next this sitution you play bet/shove of course yes???
      You can check yourself, but yes likely. We getting pretty good equity then, like 45-50% equity. Although without reads or stats it's hard to play this way.