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[NL2-NL10] NL10 AK on AKQ flop

    • jbpatzer
      Joined: 22.11.2009 Posts: 6,955
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from

      SB ($16.15)
      BB ($14.33)
      UTG ($10.50)
      MP ($14.89)
      Hero (CO) ($10.69)
      Button ($10)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K:heart: , A:diamond:
      2 folds, Hero bets $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.70) K:club: , A:spade: , Q:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.35, SB calls $0.35

      Turn: ($1.40) 9:club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.80, SB raises to $3.80, Hero calls $3

      River: ($9) 4:spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $3.90, Hero calls $3.90

      Total pot: $16.80 | Rake: $1.12

      Couldn't understand the line he took at all, and didn't feel that I could fold. I thought he'd show me a worse two pair.
  • 1 reply
    • Duudalinja
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030

      The thing is we should expect him to 3bet AA/KK and even QQ preflop, I doubt he peeled off that flop with 99, so I think it comes down to two pair/straight and against that range:

      Board: Kc As Qd

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 48.896% 48.27% 00.62% 13381 173.00 { AdKh }
      Hand 1: 51.104% 50.48% 00.62% 13993 173.00 { AQs, KQs, JTs, AQo, KQo, JTo }

      If we exclude JTo we have 72% equity, so I think your line is fine, just bet more on the flop and turn. Given your smallish bets I think he could easily raise there with worse two pair hands.

      Ofc that's against unknown as you didn't give any information, if you have more ideas how he plays, you can adjust accordingly.

      Good luck!