[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR AJ two pair on flop

    • Gugi19
      Gugi19
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.01.2010 Posts: 325
      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (UTG+1): $25.00
      MP: $33.50
      MP+1: $21.88
      LP: $9.00
      CO: $25.60
      BTN: $20.18
      SB: $10.36
      BB: $25.65
      UTG: $8.75

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has A:heart: J:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.70, MP calls $0.70, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($1.75, 2 players) J:spade: A:spade: Q:club:
      Hero bets $1.10, MP raises to $3.25, Hero raises to $10.30, MP raises to $32.80 and is all-in, Hero calls $14.00 and is all-in

      Turn: ($50.35, 2 players) 3:club:

      River: ($50.35, 2 players) 6:heart:

      Small sample but villain is pretty tight like 4/4 in 67 hands.

      Call shove was mistake? When I thought about it later there isn't weaker hand that he could shove here and I think now he can only play JJ, QQ and AQ this way?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Gugi19,

      Yep, against that kind of nitty opponent we can likely fold there. I rather say that in long run we should lose more money than we win. For example this range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 30,263% 29,563% 1,399% 69,037% AhJd
      Player 2: 69,737% 69,037% 1,399% 29,563% QQ-JJ, AQs, KsQs, KTs, QJs, AcKs, AQo, KTo, QJo

      Best regards.