[NL2-NL10] NL10 6max Rush, Monster draw

    • Bliausmas
      Bliausmas
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      Villains stats:
      SB: 20/15/1.5 during 47 hands,
      CO: only 7 hands, but 67/0/0.2 stats somehow makes me think that he is calling station.

      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      MP ($9.70)
      CO ($9.50)
      Button ($18.13)
      SB ($10)
      BB ($9.33)
      Hero (UTG) ($18.21)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with J, K
      Hero bets $0.30, 1 fold, CO calls $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($1.20) A, 8, 10 (4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, CO calls $0.60, SB raises to $3.20, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.60, CO calls $2.60

      Turn: ($10.80) K (3 players)
      SB bets $6.50 (All-In), Hero calls ???

      Flop: After everyone checks I semi-bluff for thin value and want as much calls as possible, but surprisingly I get a raise which looks superstrong and basically means set or straight. I would probably shove here if playing heads up, but now I want the station to call, so I smooth call.
      Turn: K is a blank for me, and the opponent with set or straight shoves leaving me confused - is the call +EV here? I know I'm behind at this point but would my call be justifiable here, also taking into account that a station may call behind me?
  • 4 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Bliausmas,

      First of all I'd even Bet the bigger if I bet at all but if I do so then I'd bet ~$0,90. As played Calling with those implied odds on flop should be fine. Although I'd definitely fold it on turn, in long run we are losing money with such a Call, we don't beat much there anyways.

      Just for small example:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 71,061% 71,061% 0,000% 28,939% TT, 88, ATs, ATo
      Player 2: 28,939% 28,939% 0,000% 71,061% KhJh

      Best regards.
    • Bliausmas
      Bliausmas
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      Well it would be really close spot on the turn as HEM replayer shows me I need 2,66:1 odds or 27% equity. But I guess that would be pure gambling and it would be more profitable to avoid those spots?

      Some questions if situation were a little bit different:
      1. If we're heads up here, do I still bet 3/4 of the pot?
      2. Heads up again: Lets say I bet 3/4 pot and get a raise similar to this - do I go broke or smooth call?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Bliausmas
      Well it would be really close spot on the turn as HEM replayer shows me I need 2,66:1 odds or 27% equity. But I guess that would be pure gambling and it would be more profitable to avoid those spots?

      Some questions if situation were a little bit different:
      1. If we're heads up here, do I still bet 3/4 of the pot?
      2. Heads up again: Lets say I bet 3/4 pot and get a raise similar to this - do I go broke or smooth call?
      Yeah, you need like 27% equity. But for real... it's more often a gambling as said. Since also there is CO in the pot actually and we likely even get worse equity if he Calls as well.

      1. If you had position on him then I'd bet still like $0,90.
      2. If I'd bet like $0,90 there and get raised to $3,20 and his stack would be the same $9,50 then I'd just get it in there. For the reason that we also, can add fold equity there and we need like ~42% equity there or something similar. And for example against this range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 43,681% 43,412% 0,539% 56,049% KhJh
      Player 2: 56,319% 56,049% 0,539% 43,412% TT, 88, ATs+, ATo+
    • Bliausmas
      Bliausmas
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      Even against set or two pair only we get like 40% equity.. OK, lets shove it next time if the right situation comes :)