[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 Rush A9 IP

    • jozata
      jozata
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $32.77
      MP2:
      $20.61
      MP3:
      $7.35
      CO:
      $25.00
      BU (Hero):
      $26.71
      SB:
      $11.88


      Preflop: Hero is BU with 9, A.
      MP2 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB folds, BB calls $1.00, MP2 calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($3.85) 9, A, 2 (3 players)
      BB checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.60, BB raises to $7.50, MP2 folds, Hero raises to $25.46, BB calls $17.96.

      Turn: ($54.77) K (2 players)


      River: ($54.77) T (2 players)


      Final Pot: $54.77.

      Villains-unknown. Can I expect to be ahead often enough here to make shoving +EV? If not how should it be played?
  • 4 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Well if he does it here purely for value (considering there's a fish still left to act) you are roughly a ~39% dog (included 22, 99, A9s, A2s)

      Given the Ac is on the board that reduces the number of draws he can have and would potentially raise (especially because most people call draws there to keep the fish in).

      To answer your questions you would be ahead here often enough ONLY if villain bluffs some of the time (so thus folding to a shove) or does it with some draws. Let's say you add KQcc, 9Tcc, 89cc you are roughly 50/50 with him.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Since you can´t really fold on blank turn and he may c/r flop A2s then I´d also shove flop. he may still c/r flop with worse hands and your hand is too strong to b/f
    • jozata
      jozata
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      Since you can´t really fold on blank turn and he may c/r flop A2s then I´d also shove flop. he may still c/r flop with worse hands and your hand is too strong to b/f
      What if the board was rainbow?Would you still shove it?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by jozata
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      Since you can´t really fold on blank turn and he may c/r flop A2s then I´d also shove flop. he may still c/r flop with worse hands and your hand is too strong to b/f
      What if the board was rainbow?Would you still shove it?
      I´d start to b/c flop and likely would just call him down, because then his hand range is more polarized to total bluff or sets (sometimes two pair hands). I won´t fold my hand but at the same time don´t see value shoving