[NL20-NL50] NL50SH TT in BB

    • breena
      Joined: 14.09.2010 Posts: 412
      I only had 29 hands on the villan but have noticed him playing most pots and not really folding to raises definitely a fish

      No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      UTG ($20.25)
      MP ($48.45)
      CO ($58.75)
      Button ($62.60)
      SB ($46.95)
      Hero (BB) ($56.45)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, 10
      2 folds, CO calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero bets $2, CO calls $2

      Flop: ($5.25) 7, 9, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.70, CO calls $3.70

      Turn: ($12.65) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $8, CO calls $8

      River: ($28.65) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $28.65, Hero calls $28.65

      Total pot: $85.95

      Results below:
      Hero didn't show 10, 10 (nothing).
      CO had 5, A (two pair, Aces and fives).
      Outcome: CO won $82.95

      I checked the river kind of expecting a bluff as its a good scare card and dont really see that I can fold there. Or was I thinking to deep as villan is obviously not a very expierianced player and A rag does make sense.
  • 5 replies
    • MatejM47
      Joined: 21.01.2010 Posts: 1,193
      Well from my experience he can easily have an ace, he could also have AXd as well as Ace rag. Yeah the ace is a good scare card and he probably bluffs it, but i think he has it most of the time he pots the river.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      A is also scare card from them and since he would usually not shove that spot hand that has showdown value like 56 and you can´t be sure he is shoving missed fd I think I´d c/f river to potsize bet
    • armo
      Joined: 07.03.2008 Posts: 451
      I think sometimes villain has A 7 / A 2 type hands that pot river aces up for value
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      The bigger his river bet the more often you need him to bluff. In this case you need to be good 33% of the time.
      While he can have quite a few bluffs (T8, 68, TJ, Kx, Qx, Jx flush draws) he also has a few made hands. We can also safely assume that he rarely ever valuebets worse.

      Given that he most likely always vbets better but not always bluffs it's a very close ck/fold for me (unless we picked up other reads in the previous hands you've seen him play - ie: bet size on river with made hands, etc.)
    • breena
      Joined: 14.09.2010 Posts: 412
      I didnt have much of a read on him only 29 hands enough to know he was a fish playing to many pots and limp calling. I would of found it easier to get away from had I block bet $10 and he shoved .

      Seeing as the check on the river looks weak and I was expecting the big bet, it would of saved me $18 but still a loss I guess.