[NL2-NL10] NL10 59o blind steal

    • nktns
      nktns
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 452
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.20)
      BB ($11.15)
      UTG ($12.17)
      UTG+1 ($12.20)
      CO ($5.03)
      Hero ($11.32)

      Dealt to Hero 5:club: 9:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BB calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.65) 5:diamond: 5:heart: 8:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB raises to $1, Hero raises to $3, BB raises to $10.85 (AI), Hero calls $7.85

      TURN ($22.35) 5:diamond: 5:heart: 8:diamond: J:spade:

      RIVER ($22.35) 5:diamond: 5:heart: 8:diamond: J:spade: Q:spade:

      vpip: 15, pfr: 8, af: 1.5, 27 hands

      Both blinds foldtosteal was 80%+ and they weren't 3betting alot so i think it's profitable to steal with atc against such a nits.

      on the flop i'm thinking the way i dont wanna see diamond or something here and such a guy cant have many 5x in his range (maybe A5/K5/65), he could have 88, but maybe its just an overpair, not sure he will shove it like this but anyway. how do you think?
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello nktns,

      Preflop: Actually I'd say I'd still fold 95o vs 80% of fold bb to steal or whatsoever against 2 opponents.

      As played
      Postflop: That's a sick spot, although getting a raise from such an opponent, I guess I'd still Call it (I mean not 3bet against him). But overall it ain't that big mistake I guess to get it in against unknown there, time to time we still get to see some badly played overpair. And I don't really think that he is going to raise there with flushdraw. Rather with some made hand.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 69,937% 66,967% 5,939% 27,093% 9h5c
      Player 2: 30,063% 27,093% 5,939% 66,967% TT+, 88, A5s, K5s, 65s, A5o, K5o, 65o

      Best regards.
    • yaxkukmian
      yaxkukmian
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      This kind of tight players don't have K5or 65 in their range.
      99+ they would play the same way wanting to avoid next streets. If he has 88 you can't help it.

      I would agree 59o is not a hand you should try it. You usually don't get paid out if you hit. And if he hits you're throwing the money away and at the same time ruining your table image.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by yaxkukmian
      This kind of tight players don't have K5or 65 in their range.
      99+ they would play the same way wanting to avoid next streets. If he has 88 you can't help it.

      I would agree 59o is not a hand you should try it. You usually don't get paid out if you hit. And if he hits you're throwing the money away and at the same time ruining your table image.
      We have only 27 hands on him. How do you know that he can't have K5 or 65? He could easily have the suited ones or whatsoever, a very bad player even might even offsuited 65.