[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH AQo

    • twinn1
      Joined: 09.03.2009 Posts: 2,263
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($54.12)
      BB ($92.12)
      UTG ($67.19)
      Hero ($68.54)
      BTN ($209)

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: A:club:

      UTG raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.75, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($4.25) 6:spade: 8:club: 5:heart:

      UTG bets $3.18, Hero calls $3.18

      TURN ($10.61) 6:spade: 8:club: 5:heart: 3:diamond:

      UTG checks, Hero bets $6, UTG raises to $15.30, Hero raises to $30

      UTG is 15/11/1.1k hands, AF: 3.4, CB 74%, CB turn 47%

      So my thoughts were:
      On the flop i am flat calling because i don't think that this board hits him often and my hand would be most of time the best. Should i raise flop?
      After his check/raise i think that he is not representing many on the turn.
      I think that he think that i just want to take down the pot.
      With hands like 99-JJ he would bet again imo - he would not risk that i check back and over card will come on the river and hit me.
      Also, he could have QQ+ and want to induce bluff because i play aggressively IP but i have against this hands some fold equity (if he puts me on set) + i dont expect that he would c/r this hands often (i saw do it players in 3bet pots only).
      Would he play this way set?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      he can play that way set or overpair and I´m not sure how much fold equity you have if you 3b turn. I think fold is usually the better option
      I´d also just call or even fold on the flop. he is not c-betting there with his whole range and you´re not favorite to his utg opening range

      board: 6s8c5h
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AcQs 45.92% 39,874 12,076
      10% 54.08% 48,040 12,076