[NL2-NL10] todays biggest loosing hand

    • Aceton13
      Aceton13
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2009 Posts: 64
      Known players:

      .vp$ip BBvsSteal ORL RaisePreflop
      ..............Position: Stack
      .........AF W$SD WTS hands

      20 0 57 11
      BB: $5,05
      2.8 80 33 88

      Hero: $5,65

      22 100 25 8
      MP2: $2,03
      0.7 67 43 37


      0,02/0,05 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.98 by http://www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is UTG2 with A :spade: , A :diamond: (Comment)
      Hero raises to $0,20, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0,20, 4 folds, BB calls $0,15.

      Flop: ($0,62) J :diamond: , 5 :diamond: , 2 :diamond: (3 players) (Comment)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0,45, MP2 calls $0,45, BB raises to $1,90, Hero raises to $5,45 (All-In), MP2 folds, BB calls $2,95 (All-In), Hero gets uncalled bet back (All-In).


      Hey nice flop i got overpair and the ace of diamonds, what can happen i am often good here, am i ? i had 35.556% , but still i think i am often good here i think, it is just too good to fold

      Turn: ($10,77) K :heart: (Comment)
      River: ($10,77) 8 :club: (2 players) when i sayid to myslef i got nut flush draw i forgot i never hit these :f_frown:


      Final Pot: $10,77

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      Hero shows (As Ad)
      BB shows three-of-a-kind, deuces (2s 2c)

      BB wins with three-of-a-kind, deuces (2s 2c)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Aceton13,

      We need like 44% equity there to make it profitable, therefore I'd say it's depending a lot on the opponent. Although overall, I'd say it's safer to fold. For example against this range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 61,725% 61,725% 0,000% 38,275% JJ, 55, 22, QdTd, 9d8d, 7d6d, KdJh
      Player 2: 38,275% 38,275% 0,000% 61,725% AsAd

      We likely loose in long run money. And even if we add like one more Jx into his range what ain't that likely, although sometimes even reasonable, we don't get that great equity either. Of course we could add like 2pairs there, but I rarely see them being that loose to Call with hands like 52 or J5.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 59,293% 59,293% 0,000% 40,707% JJ, 55, 22, QdTd, 9d8d, 7d6d, 4d3d, KdJh, QdJc
      Player 2: 40,707% 40,707% 0,000% 59,293% AsAd

      Since often times I expect them to raise with some hands like QQ+.

      Best regards.