[NL2-NL10] NL10 6max Rush, KK on all spade board

    • Bliausmas
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      Villains stats: 85/62/4.5 during 14 hands.

      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      SB ($10)
      Hero (BB) ($15.42)
      UTG ($8.05)
      MP ($5.37)
      CO ($18.06)
      Button ($2.33)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, K
      UTG bets $0.30, 4 folds, Hero raises to $0.95, UTG calls $0.65

      Flop: ($1.95) 10, 2, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.20, UTG raises to $2.90, Hero ???

      Do we cbet flop bigger? After opponent raises - easy fold?
  • 3 replies
    • JonikoP
      Joined: 15.05.2010 Posts: 600
      I'm tempted to ship here but expect to have to dodge a spade.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Bliausmas,

      Actually it's damn close in between shipping and not. For the reason that we can easily face a hand which has the FD in it and we likely would have just a flip at the best. Meanwhile we could be already far behind vs him. And because we don't have the K I guess I might even consider folding here time to time, although this might seem to be weak but it's safer.

      Just few ranges, lets say he raises wider:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 55,234% 53,813% 2,841% 43,346% AA, QsQh, JsJh, TT, ATs, AsKd, ATo
      Player 2: 44,766% 43,346% 2,841% 53,813% KhKc

      And his range is a bit tighter:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 79,949% 78,813% 2,273% 18,914% AA, QsQh, JsJh, TT, AsKd
      Player 2: 20,051% 18,914% 2,273% 78,813% KhKc

      Here we see that we are pretty far behind, although I didn't even add the flushes into the hand as well, which could even put us even worse spots.

      Best regards.
    • Bliausmas
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      He had a flush here. I played it badly - called the flop to see what happens on the turn. He continued betting on the turn and river, but his bets were so small I just couldn't fold, like 1$ on the turn and 1,7$ on the river. Well that will be a good lesson - when facing a tough spot rather ship it or fold it, don't call.