[NL2-NL10] AJo on a 2 colour board

    • thazar
      thazar
      Silver
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,561
      $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG LightningJoker ($50.61)
      UTG+1 Sierra272 ($18.90)
      MP1 CmpeJla ($12.19)
      MP2 Hero ($10)
      MP3 rem46 ($33.53)
      CO piko22 ($29.03)
      BTN BYS77 ($7.66)
      SB Freddi-boy ($24.11)
      BB zadrazia ($25)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 9 players) Hero is MP2 A:diamond: J:heart:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, 1 fold, piko22 calls $0.85, 3 folds

      Flop: 3:club: 4:diamond: K:club: ($2.05, 2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, piko22 calls $1.25

      Turn: A:heart: ($4.55, 2 players)
      Hero bets $2.25, piko22 goes all-in $26.93, Hero goes all-in $5.65

      River: 3:diamond: ($39.38, 2 players, 2 all-in)

      Villain is 13/5 over 61 hands

      no postflop reads


      Here is the range I put him on

      http://www.PokerStrategy.com
      Operation canceled... 2,760,051 games processed in 1 seconds.

      Board: Ah Kc 4d 3c
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 74.148 % 69.896 % 8.505 % 21.599 % KK+, AKs, AcQc, AcJc, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, AKo
      Player 2: 25.852 % 21.599 % 8.505 % 69.896 % AdJh


      ----------------------------------------


      I need 28% equity, so I shopuld have folded. That is of course assuming he never bluffs; how often does he need to bluff for me to call profitably?

      Regards

      Thazar
  • 3 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,


      that's an awful betsizing on the Turn. Half pot on a drawheavy board, ouch you are valuecutting yourself


      Would 13/5 call '' Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c '' pre? You dont include QT and stuff?

      Anyway I would bet/call this especially with your betsizing as played


      - Gerv
    • thazar
      thazar
      Silver
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,561
      Thanks Gerv

      I got only 61 hands and I thought I should widen a bit opponent range rather that is why I included Acxc, I did not include QT though because I though he probably would rather have raised on flop (more equity), Acxc now have TP + FD, so more likely to raise / push. But just my thoughts.

      So how do I calculate the amount of time I need him to bluff to make my call profitable?

      regards
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      It's just the pot odds you calculate but then you have to be good that amount of times as when you call you either have him or he has you crushed