[NL2-NL10] NL10 6max Rush, Trips enough?

    • Bliausmas
      Bliausmas
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      Villains stats: 21/17/7.5 during 153 hands. He check/raised 3 times, that would be 33%.

      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      SB ($9.50)
      BB ($13.13)
      Hero (UTG) ($36.61)
      MP ($8.68)
      CO ($16.36)
      Button ($3.90)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, J
      Hero bets $0.30, 2 folds, Button calls $0.30, 1 fold, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.95) K, K, 4 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, 1 fold, BB raises to $1.80, Hero calls $1.20

      Turn: ($4.55) 5 (2 players)
      BB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

      River: ($9.55) 2 (2 players)
      BB bets $8.53 (All-In), Hero ???

      No point to shove on the flop as I scare out all the bluffs. The same goes with turn. But on the river when he shoves - what do I beat? Pretty much nothing, except KT.. What should I do?
  • 5 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Bliausmas,

      Yep, actually I'd say that we can't really make the Call there profitable just for the reason that we have to know that he is capable of taking such lines as bluffs. More often they are very strong and without any good reason to make the call there, I don't really like it. Turn Call is totally fine but I don't really like the Call on river. Just if we take also a look at his bet sizing, which somewhat is like inviting us on turn and otherwise like on river tries to take maximum value, rather fold equity.

      Best regards.
    • Bliausmas
      Bliausmas
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      Well I actually called the river shove but of course that was a mistake, I admit that. He had KT, but that's just lucky hand as I hit his very bottom range here. I was about to fold at one moment, but the reasons that made me to call was his aggression (7.5 - come on, it's too much) and flop c/r as this appears his pretty standart move. But yeah, that was pretty much gambling against the odds..
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Bliausmas
      Well I actually called the river shove but of course that was a mistake, I admit that. He had KT, but that's just lucky hand as I hit his very bottom range here. I was about to fold at one moment, but the reasons that made me to call was his aggression (7.5 - come on, it's too much) and flop c/r as this appears his pretty standart move. But yeah, that was pretty much gambling against the odds..
      Yep, I somewhat calculated it:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 76,190% 76,190% 0,000% 23,810% 55-44, AKs, As3s, KQs, KTs-K9s, K4s, AKo, KQo, KTo
      Player 2: 23,810% 23,810% 0,000% 76,190% KcJc

      And for break-even we need like 32% equity. :(
    • Bliausmas
      Bliausmas
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2010 Posts: 741
      Thanks, I believe it will help me next time to force myself to fold in similar spot. Really bad equity..
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Bliausmas
      Thanks, I believe it will help me next time to force myself to fold in similar spot. Really bad equity..
      Of course we could turn around the equity if we add some bluffs into his range but I don't really expect to see there a bluff unless we really have some reads on him.