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[NL20-NL50] AA, NL50, Rush, river play?

    • slimy3
      slimy3
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 2,444
      Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 1194120
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $54.15
      BTN: $54.30
      SB: $96.65
      BB: $67.45
      Hero (UTG): $53.90
      UTG+1: $50.75
      UTG+2: $56.85
      MP1: $52.65
      MP2: $62.95

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with A :diamond: A :club:
      Hero raises to $1.75, 3 folds, MP2 calls $1.75, 4 folds

      Flop: ($4.25) 2 :spade: J :heart: 7 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.75, MP2 calls $2.75

      Turn: ($9.75) 3 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.75, MP2 calls $6.75

      River: ($23.25) T :club: (2 players)
      Hero requests TIME, Hero bets $15.50, MP2 raises to $51.70 all in, Hero folds

      13/9/3/1.4/26 (VPIP/PFR/3B/AF/WTSD) ~170 hands

      For me, it looks pretty simple spot to bet,bet,bet for value. But recently I feel that V's raises me a lot on the river so I wanna be sure that my thinking is right.

      Flop is dry so I put my V on middle pairs and maybe QQ, sets, and AJs (maybe AJo), JTs. I play bet, bet, bet. On the river, I beat a large part of his range, even if he folds middle pairs he calls with QQ, and AJ and raises with better hands - so bet/fold is the right play here? I don't like x/c line because he is betting only with better hands and maybe with QQ (but probably he wouldn't) and checking behind with hands he would call my bet. Am I right?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      if you see players raising you a lot on the river then likely they can´t really have there only sets, so given that read I´d likely would b/c river especially if you asked time. But also if you don´t feel comfortable b/c river, you can always c/c. First you see what hands he he is calling two streets, he may easily bet river AJ/QQ/KK and you don´t have to fold your hand