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[NL2-NL10] NL10 KQ trips flop

    • nktns
      nktns
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 452
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.40)
      Hero ($23.43)
      UTG ($10)
      UTG+1 ($8.91)
      CO ($10.39)
      BTN ($6.28)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: Q:diamond:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.20, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.45) K:spade: J:club: 8:heart:

      Hero bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40

      TURN ($1.25) K:spade: J:club: 8:heart: K:diamond:

      Hero bets $1, CO calls $1

      RIVER ($3.25) K:spade: J:club: 8:heart: K:diamond: 5:diamond:

      Hero bets $2.20, CO raises to $4.60, Hero calls $2.40

      Unknown.

      b/f river? that raise even at that point seemed valuish but i called just because of great odds and he MAY do that with worse Kx.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello nktns,

      The problem with the min-raise is that he is like always having there at least the Kx but while we get like so good odds, I don't think that I am folding there either. For example we put him on such range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 52,273% 45,455% 13,636% 40,909% AKs, K7s+, AKo, K8o+
      Player 2: 47,727% 40,909% 13,636% 45,455% KcQd

      We getting pretty good equity, we need like 20% there to make it profitable in long run, so therefore it shouldn't be that big mistake to Call it. And even against a tighter range I guess we can likely consider this Call.

      Best regards.