[NL2-NL10] NL5 QJ trips

    • Absolutism
      Absolutism
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.08.2008 Posts: 4,372
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      ($6.18)
      Hero ($6.77)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: J:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.17, calls $0.12

      FLOP ($0.34) Q:spade: Q:club: 7:diamond:

      checks, Hero bets $0.25, raises to $0.91, Hero calls $0.66

      TURN ($2.16) Q:spade: Q:club: 7:diamond: T:club:

      checks, Hero bets $1.20, raises to $5.10 (AI), Hero folds

      wins $4.34

      14/12 AF:3.2 c/r flop: 6% 2,5k hands

      He is aggro, but what can i beat? Can he play on overpair like this?
      This looks so much like a 7 or AQ.
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Absolutism,

      Is this headsup or what? If this is a headsup play I guess I'd even Call it, although if not then it's pretty hard to make such a Call against his line unless we have some good reason to think that he is bluffing. More often I see him doing this with hands like Qx but the question is how many worse Qx he has in his range. I don't think that many, therefore I guess folding shouldn't really big mistake there, sometimes even safer. :)

      Although sometimes they might have slowplayed some overpair there as well, therefore it's kinda close. You have so many hands on him that you should know his play a lot more than we do from only those few stats.

      Best regards.
    • Absolutism
      Absolutism
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.08.2008 Posts: 4,372
      It was a 6max table, but everyone left. I'm not sure if he is adapted to HU play or not (i did not....).

      I have a lot of stats from him, but i dont really know which stat could help me in this situation:

      c/r: flop 8%, turn 9%
      aggfreq: flop 24%, turn 21%,
      Wtsd:22, w$sd:58

      But he is -16$ in his 2,7k hands.

      Sometimes i saw some weird stack offs from him, so i think he tilts some of the time. But this line doesnt seem like a tilt-push-line. I'm multitabling, so i dont have any more direct reads.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      I guess folding there should be fine. Just if we take into account his W$SD it's pretty big and I expect very often have him here a strong hand. Therefore not much wrong. Although sometimes I really don't get his line, when he even had a very strong hand, why is he trying to get it in on turn. More often he has there the Qx only I guess or even bluff.