[NL20-NL50] [SH] set on drawy board vs fish

    • Dublimax
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $58.52
      UTG: $50.00
      MP: $54.52
      Hero (CO): $66.54
      BTN: $43.75 VP:54/VP:15/WTSD:24%/AggF: (F,T,R):46,53,56
      SB: $49.50

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has Q:club: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, fold, BB calls $1.00

      Flop: ($4.75, 3 players) K:club: 3:club: Q:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero bets $4.00, BTN calls $4.00, fold

      Turn: ($12.75, 2 players) T:club:
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($12.75, 2 players) J:diamond:
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn card is very bad, not only flush got there but also AJ,KT,QT.
      On the other hand he can probably have any Kx.

      What should I do?
      B/F if he raises and if he Calls what should I do on river?
  • 3 replies
    • THESHade
      Joined: 25.03.2010 Posts: 5,418
      I would bet for value vs KX, JX, XXc even though the fact that u have Qc in ur hand makes check good if he can float/bluff becauseit sucks if he raises the Turn because u have FD outs + FH outs so usually my plan w such a hands (when I ahve a suit of the flush) I ch/c
      but I like valuebet here more because of the fact he is the fish and msot likely a passive one(???) and f/g depending on the odds (or hsove if he is crazy)

      if we bet na dhe calls I am deffo not betting more than half pot on the R but I may try to go for a 1/3 valuebet

      EDIT: I see u have a blog now :) Gonna read it tomorow (Or today if I wont be able to fall asleep again :) )
    • Adapter1337
      Joined: 17.01.2010 Posts: 734
      Bet turn for value, if he raise, look your odds
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I´d bet/shove turn, since he can still raise with two pair or pair+draws and even if he has there straight or flush you still have a lot of outs to improve
      c/f river is fine, don´t think he is bluffing that spot, so you should check it down and expect to be ahead quite often