[NL2-NL10] NL10 KJo flopped trips

    • Oly0909
      Oly0909
      Silver
      Joined: 08.06.2008 Posts: 843
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      MP3:
      $12,47
      Hero:
      $10

      0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.96 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with K:spade: , J:club:
      2 folds, MP3 calls $0,10, CO folds, Hero raises to $0,50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0,40.

      Flop: ($1,15) J:heart: , J:spade: , 8:club: (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $0,6, MP3 calls $0,60.

      Turn: ($2,35) Q:club: (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $1,6, MP3 raises to $3,50, Hero raises to $8,90 (All-In), MP3 calls $5,40.

      River: ($20,15) 6:club: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $20,15

      Comments please.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Oly0909,

      It's very close, we need like 30% equity there for break-even but for example if we put him on such a range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 69,134% 66,462% 5,344% 28,194% 88, AJs, QJs, J8s+, T9s, AJo, QJo, J8o+, T9o
      Player 2: 30,866% 28,194% 5,344% 66,462% KsJc

      We getting likely near that. Therefore if you like somehow take the flip the shipping there is fine, somewhat you should have better reads on him. Although I wouldn't really expect him to raise there with a lot worse hands since his W$SD is pretty big which indicates that he is going to showdown with strong hands and as well his AF ain't that big.

      Best regards.