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[NL20-NL50] [SH] Flush vs fish paired river

    • Dublimax
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - £0.50 NL - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: £64.44
      SB: £37.38
      BB: £47.25
      UTG: £52.68 VP:22/PR:19/Fold 3B:72
      MP: £51.13 VP:58/PR:8/WTSD:42/AggFon R:36 (19/53) (300 hands)
      Hero (CO): £45.78

      SB posts SB £0.25, BB posts BB £0.50

      Pre Flop: (£0.75) Hero has A:diamond: K:diamond:

      UTG raises to £2.00, MP calls £2.00, Hero raises to £7.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP calls £5.50

      Flop: (£17.75, 2 players) 5:spade: 2:diamond: 3:diamond:
      MP checks, Hero bets £13.50, MP calls £13.50

      Turn: (£44.75, 2 players) T:diamond:
      MP checks, Hero checks

      River: (£44.75, 2 players) 5:club:
      MP bets £30.13, Hero calls £24.78

      I 3B pre to get rid of UTG that fold 72% and play vs fish.

      Since I have very little fold equity should I CBet vs this calling station w WTSD 42 or just Chbh to hit my 17 outs?

      I check the Turn to give him the opportunity to bluff River and also because he has only 2/3 pot left.

      Once he shoved knowing that I have checked to let him bluff I have to call I guess even though the river brings a 5 and potential FH or quads?
  • 2 replies
    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      I think the flop cbet is fine, you can easily have more than 50% equity here, if he calls, it's not a problem, you can checkbehind unimproved on the turn, and get allin on the river if you hit.

      With the flush getting there on the turn i wouldn't checkbehind against this villain, he could call with a lot of pairs (probably even with a low 1card flushdraw), but many scarecard could arrive for him on the river.

      As played i think the river is an easy call, wouldn't think about folding here ever...
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      since you can comfortable bet/shove on the flop I would prefer also c-bet and shoving any turn card to get more fold equity hands like Ax or medium pp or even just fold out his JT that has some equity against our hand
      If he snap called on the flop I think he won´t fold to turn, so I´d shove for value, bu if you think he would fold very often your line looks also fine