[NL2-NL10] NL4 Handreading at NL4 QQ top set on flush board

    • dallievas
      dallievas
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.11.2007 Posts: 822
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $2.85
      CO:
      $4.00
      BU (Hero):
      $4.61
      SB:
      $7.16
      BB:
      $4.46
      MP2:
      $7.96


      Preflop: Hero is BU with Q, Q.
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.16, Hero calls $0.16, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.38) 4, 8, Q (2 players)
      CO bets $0.27, Hero calls $0.27.

      Turn: ($0.92) 5 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $0.66, CO calls $0.66.

      River: ($2.24) 2 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.06, CO raises to $2.91, Hero calls $1.85.

      Final Pot: $8.06.

      Opponent is very tight and somewhat passive,15/9/1,7 185 hands,his pfr on cu is 9(36 hands),aggression by streets 1,7 0 1,1 ,wtsd 20.Cbet 30
      You can not agree with me on preflop,but postflop is more problem for me here.Considering his all range how much sets and how much flushes he can have here? During the hand I thought he should have many sets and less flushes.
      Board: 4d Qd 8c 5h 2d
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 04.545% 04.55% 00.00% 3 0.00 { QQ+, 88, 55-44, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd }
      Hand 1: 95.455% 95.45% 00.00% 63 0.00 { QcQh, QcQs, QhQs }

      Stox combo :
      Postflop Analysis with a board of Qd 4d 8c 5h 2d

      With known hole cards of Qc Qh

      All cards Total Combos = 27

      AA - QQ, 88, 55 - 44, AKs - AQs, KQs,

      * Any Pair Combos = 14/27 Percent =51.85%
      * Top Pair Combos = 2/27 Percent =7.41%
      * Trips/Set Combos = 9/27 Percent =33.33%
      * OESD Combos = 0/27 Percent =0%
      * Flush Combos = 1/27 Percent =3.7%
      * < Pair Combos = 3/27 Percent =11.11%
      * NoPair/NoDraw Combos = 4/27 Percent =14.81%

      How many accidental fd he can have? .So,cosidering all these things :1)Is only call ok on flop? 2)Is this auto call on a river?
      Thanks a lot.
      Best regards :)
      :f_confused:
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello dallievas,

      Yes, Calling the flop here is somewhat fine, although sometimes I might even just raise it up. Otherwise I don't really see myself folding on river, he may as well sometimes pick such a line with weaker sets and not only flushes only.

      Best regards.
    • dallievas
      dallievas
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.11.2007 Posts: 822
      Thanks a lot.You confirmed me that I did small step forward into handreading. :D Old me would almost auto fold.Actually he had A5s ,which was very surprising to me (I rather expected AK,AQ,AJ s),but still as Vanessa said "considering all the information I had it was right decision ".
      Best regards,
      less :f_confused: