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[NL2-NL10] AK nl10 levling or not?

    • deivid2
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      [quote]Napisane przez deivid2
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($6.75)
      BB ($9.46)
      Hero ($10.74)
      UTG+1 ($11.23)
      CO ($5)
      BTN ($15.03)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: K:club:

      Hero raises to $0.35, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.20, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.85, BTN calls $1.65

      FLOP ($5.85) Q:club: 6:spade: A:diamond:

      Hero bets $2, BTN raises to $11.85, Hero calls $5.89 (AI)

      34/18/2.4/6.7 3b 196h

      PRE: i think without reads here 4b/ship and fold is ok, i 4b here becouse he has big 3b on BTN 18%.

      F: i for value and get snapshove and now i think this i have TPTK in 3b pot i must call!

      but know i think other.

      PRE: he 3b me so his range i think is this QQ 100%, TT-JJ 50% becouse he sometimes flatcall this hand pre, AA, KK, AK 50% becosue i bocking this hands and KK-AA i thinks he shove preflop, and AQ 50% beocuse i have As and he sometimes flatcalls so when he calls my 4b i thinks he has QQ, somietes TT-JJ and AQ

      F: this flop he should calls with AQ and QQ but this is micro he play snapshovue bocuse he has monster in 3bpot, and when he has JJ-TT i think he this long time. So here i think bet/fold is optimal play becouse i beat only bluff vs his range.

      What do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello deivid2,

      First of all I guess I'd even do the 4bet a bit bigger like at least $3. Otherwise I don't really think that I am folding there on flop, he may as well sometimes come up with even worse Aces. According to his stats he seems to be pretty bad and I wouldn't be even surprised and when he has hands like QQ or AA, why the hell should he shove there?

      And when we picked such a small bet we could easily induce him to shove with even weaker hands or as well with bluffs.

      Plus we need like 27% equity there to make it profitable and it should be still doable, for example if we put him into this range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 63,728% 46,857% 33,743% 19,400% QQ, AJs+, AQo+
      Player 2: 36,272% 19,400% 33,743% 46,857% AcKc

      But we didn't include bluffs as well into his hand, which he still could have. So I don't think I am folding this one unless I have a really good reason.

      Best regards.