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[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH 99 in BB vs SB LAG

    • gonepoker
      gonepoker
      Platinum
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      Hello,
      stats of villain: 31/28, fold to 3b 14% (7), 4bet 0% , check-raise flop 29% (7), steal from SB 67%, WTSD 36% (28), but only 129 hands of data...
      Didn't have any reads except he took bet/3bet line (not shove) OOP with top 2 pair on very drawy board.
      I called because I wasn't sure what he was representing: QQ-AA he probably would 4bet and I don't think he would play JJ 88 55 like this I think this player would try to commit me more of course not really sure how these type of players play set's so I decided to check it out.
      Pre flop 3bet I think is the only way to play. But not sure if I had a good reason to call here.
      What do you think?
      Thank you for helping me.

      No-Limit Hold'em, $0.20 BB (4 handed)

      SB ($23.06)
      Hero (BB) ($20.50)
      UTG ($20.42)
      Button ($24.19)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9, 9
      2 folds, SB bets $0.60, Hero raises $2, SB calls $1.50

      Flop: ($4.40) 5, J, 8 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB raises $20.76, Hero calls $15.10

      Turn: ($40.60) J (2 players)

      River: ($40.60) K (2 players)

      Total pot: $40.60


      Results below: SB had A, 4 (one pair, Jacks). Hero had 9, 9 (two pair, Jacks and nines).
  • 1 reply
    • Adapter1337
      Adapter1337
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2010 Posts: 734
      Hello!
      Preflop:
      What was your plan if he 4bet?
      If your plan was shove, then 3bet is correct, if you fold then call is correct.

      Flop:
      I bet-fold, because his range have crush you, price isnt so good.
      Yes you can think, he can have draw and you are ahead then, but times if he have 2pair/set, you are so behind, that against range, its not good idea to call here.
      Your sample is to small for flop check-raise stat, 4bet stats and so on.


      Your hand vs:
      55/88/JJ Ac4c-AcTc, 8c9c, KcQc, 9Ts, AJs/AJo, KJs and some random bluff for balancing bit: K9s, your equity is 28.8%
      Its pretty weak range, there is def some QJ, J8 and so on, so your equity is worst even.

      Price isnt good: fold
      Just because, people dont pure bluffing this way, they have something allways, if he wants pure bluff, he dont shove ALL IN, there is just no point.