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[NL20-NL50] RUSH NL50 TP gutshot nut flush draw against turn AI

    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335

      Hand converted with online hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2 (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, Q.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1.75, MP3 folds, CO calls $1.75, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($4.25) J, A, K (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.00, CO calls $4.00.

      Turn: ($12.25) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $9.50, CO raises to $51.10(All-In), Hero calls $36.85(All-In).

      River: ($109.7) Q (2 players)

      Final Pot: $109.7.
      Results follow:

      Hero shows two pairs, aces and queens(A Q).
      CO shows a flush, ace high(5 4).

      CO wins with a flush, ace high(5 4).
  • 2 replies
    • x3mwisp
      Joined: 31.03.2009 Posts: 3,604
      I think I would play check/call turn and check/call or check/fold river.The fish becomes agresive on the turn looking at his stats that you showed and therefore if you play bet/call it's too thin ,and bet/fold is too weak.

      My opinion.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cutegoldfish,

      I don't really like betting the turn again, the problem with betting the turn again is that when we will face a raise we will be a ugly spot and might even have to fold it for the reason that we ain't gonna get that good equity vs him. I'd prefer Check/Call as well in those spots since there aren't that many worse hands which would continue there. And as well we still can improve on river.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 73,106% 71,970% 2,273% 25,758% AKs, AJs, QTs, 9s8s, 7s6s, 6s5s, AKo, AJo, QTo
      Player 2: 26,894% 25,758% 2,273% 71,970% AcQs

      Which means we ain't getting that great equity anyways there. And we need like 39% equity there to make the Call profitable.

      Best regards.