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[NL20-NL50] KQ nl25 spewy or high variance but good play :)

    • deivid2
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($71.49)
      Hero ($25.55)
      CO ($4.25)
      BTN ($12.10)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: K:heart:

      fold, fold, SB raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $1.50

      FLOP ($4.50) 9:heart: J:club: 9:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $2.05, SB calls $2.05

      TURN ($8.60) 9:heart: J:club: 9:diamond: 5:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $5.75, SB calls $5.75

      RIVER ($20.10) 9:heart: J:club: 9:diamond: 5:heart: 5:club:

      SB checks, Hero bets $15.50 (AI), SB raises to $61.44 (AI)

      29/22/3.9 228hands
      BTN steal 36%

      PRE: i crush his range so i 3b for value he calls ok.
      F: i decided 3barrel bluffs he has here 88+, AJ+, KJ+, maybe JT+ he loooks good gay so when i 3b here and 3barrel and we don't a lot history i thinks he must fold every hand worst 99, JJ, AJ, (QQ+ i thinks he 4b) so he folds AK, AQ, QJ, JT, 88, TT i thinks or i miss complety and spewy play :D
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      depends how showdown happy is player
      I personally think he would 4-bet a lot of times AK/TT so that should be that much on his range. He would likely not fold to you Jx hands, so question is how often he would double float you to make him fold Ax hands or would he fold to your river shove 66-88
      Generally I´d c/f river, since I think players would you call you down light that spot and you can never be sure if you would run into monster: either 9x, JJ or higher pp