Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) -
Full Tilt Converter Tool from
FlopTurnRiver.com
saw flop
Hero (CO) ($57.02)
Button ($25)
SB ($47.35)
BB ($51.32)
UTG ($25.35)
MP ($10.04)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 7

, 9
2 folds,
Hero bets $0.75,
1 fold, SB calls $0.65,
1 fold
Flop: ($1.75) 8

, 9

, 5
(2 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $1.25, SB calls $1.25
Turn: ($4.25) Q
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
River: ($4.25) 4
(2 players)
SB bets $3, Hero calls $3
Total pot: $10.25
| Rake: $0.51
As I know it I need >=29% eq for this move to be profitable.
Opp is 37/23 with 2.8 Af, 4.3 3bet, over 50 hands
Trying to construct a range for him I end up with something like this : {99-55,A9s-A8s,A5s,KQs,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,86s+,76s,64s+,54s,KdQs,KdQc,KsQd,KsQc,KcQd,KcQs,JdTh,JdTs,JhTd,JhTs,JsTd,JsTh}
Basically 99-55 6 combos of KQo and 6 of JTo and lots of suited connecters, broadways type hands + many suited connecters.
I end up having 35% eq vs this range so I my call is a good one after this analysis.
I would like to have your opinion as well.