[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 1010 facing 4bet from short stack

    • jozata
      jozata
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $62.66
      BB:
      $10.04
      MP2:
      $86.84
      MP3:
      $27.98
      CO:
      $25.00
      BU (Hero):
      $24.65


      Preflop: Hero is BU with T, T.
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.85, Hero raises to $2.55, SB folds, BB raises to $8.60, CO folds, Hero raises to $24.65, BB calls $1.44.

      Flop: ($35.64) 5, 8, K (2 players)


      Turn: ($35.64) K (2 players)


      River: ($35.64) J (2 players)


      Final Pot: $35.64.

      Villains-unknown.Do I have a +EV shove against the unknown short stack?
  • 2 replies
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Imo it's a fold vs unknown as I dont think we have any reason to assume that he is cold 4 betting anywthing wider than TT+, AQ+ against which we have only 40% eq.

      And because he is not directly shoving I think his range is even narrower and I would personally put him on JJ+,AK against which our eq drops to 33.5%
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I wouldn´t fold, since we´re getting too good pot odds
      Pot is 10+0,85+2,55+0,1= 13,5 and we need to call 7,45. So we´re almost getting 2:1, exactly: 1.81:1, which means we need to have 35,6% equity that we have even against tightest shoving range:

      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      TT 36.41% 126,502,032 1,386,792
      QQ-AA, AK 63.59% 221,421,192 1,386,792